Monday, August 13, 2012

SCHS Pigskin Preview

That most hallowed time of year is upon us once again, and by that I of course mean football season.

First, let’s recap Stephens County’s last campaign, and a fine one it was.  The Indians finished the season with a record of 9-3, losing to Cairo in the second round of the state playoffs (the Syrupmakers were the number one seed out of Region 1AAA; the road trip to Grady County for the Indians was more than 300 miles – one way).  All three of the teams to beat Stephens County, Elbert County in Class AA, Gainesville in Class AAA, and Cairo in Class AAA, all made it to at least the third round of the state playoffs.  So, all in all, not such a bad effort.

Second, a word about GSHA's revised regional classifications is in order.  SCHS jumps to Region 8AAAA for the upcoming campaign.  Perhaps “returns” is a better terminology, as my admittedly feeble recollection is that SCHS was in Region 8AA through my freshman year, moved up to Region 8AAAA for my sophomore and junior years, and then dropped back to Region 8AAA for my senior year.  And there the Indians stayed for more than three decades (and yes, I am thereby dating myself).  Anyway, now that GHSA has expanded its classification system, I guess that some reshuffling was in order.

The current composition of the revised Region 8AAAA is:
Chestatee (Gainesville)
Eastside (Covington)
Lanier (Sugar Hill)
Lumpkin County (Dahlonega)
Madison County (Danielsville)
Monroe Area (Monroe)
Stephens County (Toccoa)
Walnut Grove (Walnut Grove)

Finally, consider this season’s schedule:

17 August – St. Puis X Catholic makes the trip up from the big city to take on the Indians in a scrimmage game at The Reservation.  The Golden Lions are in Region 6AAA.

31 August – The season opens up with the Indians making a short road trip to Carnesville to face long-time rival Franklin County.  The Lions reside in Region 8AAA.

07 September – Habersham Central crosses the hump from Mt Airy for the annual “Battle of Currahee Mountain.”  The raiders are in Region 7AAAAAA.

14 September – The Indians trek down to Hartwell to face Hart County.  The Bulldogs are a Region 8AAA team.

21 September – The Walnut Grove Warriors come to The Reservation for a Region 8AAAA conference game.  This is “Homecoming Night” at The Reservation.

28 September – The Chestatee War Eagles come to Toccoa from Gainesville for a Region 8AAAA conference game.  This is “Recreation Night” at The Reservation.

05 October – OPEN

12 October – The Indians travel to Monroe to take on the Monroe Area Hurricanes in a Region 8AAAA conference game.

19 October – Region 8AAAA conference play continues as the Indians commute to Danielsville to combat the Madison County Red Raiders.

26 October – The Lanier Longhorns make the trip from Sugar Hill to face the Indians in a Region 8AAAA conference tilt.  This is “Band Senior Night” at The Reservation.

02 November – The Eastside Eagles arrive at The Reservation from Covington to battle with the Indians in a region 8AAAA contest.  This is “Senior Night” at The Reservation.

09 November – The regular season ends with the real Indians traveling to Dahlonega to take on the Lumpkin County (bizarre) Indians in a final Region 8AAAA contest.

See the SCHS football pages at the SCHS web site, MaxPreps, and Home Teams Online.

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Monday, August 6, 2012

A Postmortem On T-SPLOST

Read the column here.

In addition to the one-sidedness of the votes noted in my column proper, consider what follows.

The voting was in the Northeast Georgia District was amazingly lopsided. See just how much so for yourselves:
Barrow 29.24% yes 70.76% no
Clarke 51.72% yes 48.28% no
Elbert 42.45% yes 57.55% no
Greene 41.06% yes 58.94% no
Jackson 25.60% yes 74.40% no
Jasper 35.62% yes 64.38% no
Madison 38.01% yes 61.99% no
Morgan 31.76% yes 68.24% no
Newton 36.47% yes 63.53% no
Oconee 34.97% yes 65.03% no
Oglethorpe 36.00% yes 64.00% no
Walton 26.92% yes 73.08% no
Total 35.30% yes 64.70% no

See the Northeast Georgia District results here:

See the Northeast Georgia District results by county here:

Also, as mentioned in the column, treating the dozen referenda as a collective whole, the statewide story was just the same: 622,594 votes in favor of the various referenda versus 982,815 votes against, or 38.78% yes and 61.12% no.

See the statewide results here:

And here is another thing: the T-SPLOST referenda were timed specifically to result in low turnouts. So, the T-SPLOST referenda, through which Georgians wetr to decide the fate of a decade-long $18 BILLION tax plan, were scheduled for July, rather than to coincide with the presidential preference primary held a few months earlier in the year or the general election to be held a few months later. The politicians learned long ago to schedule these “optional” sales tax votes so as to guarantee most voters will not show up at the polls. The statewide turnout was measly a 31.28 percent; in the Northeast Georgia District, the similarly low turnouts by county were marginally higher:
Barrow 24.18%
Clarke 23.61%
Elbert 43.57%
Greene 42.26%
Jackson 38.87%
Jasper 48.29%
Madison 42.50%
Morgan 39.17%
Newton 30.92%
Oconee 45.68%
Oglethorpe 33.09%
Walton 33.56%

See turnouts by county here (just click on the map):

Note that the number of “no” votes in just the Atlanta Regional District (418,423) was TWO-THIRDS (67.21% to be precise) of the total number of “yes” votes statewide (622,594).

Also, note that the number of “no” votes in the just Atlanta Regional District (again, 418,423), was MORE THAN TWICE THE TOTAL NUMBER OF VOTES, both for and against, the three referenda in the districts in which it passed (Central Savannah River Area District [91,916] + River Valley District [55,454] + Heart of Georgia Altamaha District [55,433] = 202,803).

All of my vote totals were taken from the Secretary of State’s web site as of mid-morning on Thursday, at which time only a couple of counties still had incomplete results.

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Saturday, July 21, 2012

Sales Tax Is No Way To Fund Transportation Projects

Read the column here.

Note that the Atlanta special district is an entity unto itself and that a completely different set of rules apply to it.  For the purpose of my two columns on T-SPLOST, I limited myself to those applicable to Athens.

Banner-Herald legal ad:

Athens-Clarke County Composite Sample Ballot (complete with T-SPLOST referendum)

Transportation Investment Act of 2010 (HB 277):

Transportation Investment Act of 2010 (O.C.G.A. §48-8-240 through §48-8-256)

Northeast Georgia Regional Commission:

Northeast Georgia Regional Transportation Referendum Project List:

Northeast Georgia Regional Transportation Referendum Final Investment Report:

Department of Transportation’s 2012 Transportation Referendum:

AJC article subtitled “Share of transportation funds for localities does not require project list:”

Georgia Public Policy Foundation T-SPLOST Issue Analysis:

There are any number of web sites dedicated to the T-SPLOST referenda issue, both pro and con.  I will leave it to readers to search for them if they are so inclined, as they are easy to find.

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Saturday, July 7, 2012

Plenty Of Reasons To Worry About Transportation Tax Proposal

Read the column here.

I find so much wrong with the TSPLOST proposal, that my next column may well serve as a continuation of this one.

The tax should actually be termed TSPROST (R for "Regional") using the accepted convention, but even this would be incorrect. The actual language in O.C.G.A. is “special district transportation sales and use tax.”

The special district containing Athens, that of the Northeast Georgia Regional Commission, was created a half-century ago as a “focal point for regional issues concerning local government and to be a resource for those governments in a variety of specialized areas.” Interestingly, transportation is not enumerated among those specialized areas listed on the NGRC web site.

The amount of revenue returned to local governments will be determined by a formula employing the “LARP factor” ( from the Georgia DOT's Local Assistance Road Program). Per O.C.G.A., 48-8-242(6), this “means the sum of one-fifth of the ratio between the population of a local government’s jurisdiction and the total population of the special district plus four-fifths of the ratio between the paved and unpaved centerline road miles in the local government’s jurisdiction and the total paved and unpaved centerline road miles in the special district.” Centerline means the length in one direction, irrespective of the number of lanes.

TIA’s initial article ominously states that “This article shall be construed liberally to achieve its purpose.” Given our past experiences with SPLOST and E-SPLOST levies, that is precisely of what I am afraid.

Addendum - All of the material that I read in preparation for this column indicated that the situation was the way I described it, or at least that was my interpretation of it because maintenance/paving (or "resurfacing," if you prefer) was lumped in with the verbiage used and not split out into a separately administered category. Of course, this material dealt with TSPLOST as a political issue, not with the details of how various DOT programs operate.

Your comment set me to digging deeper, with the result being a convoluted thing. It appears that DOT funded local government maintenance and paving through LARP until 2010, when that and similar activities were consolidated within LMIG.

From the New Georgia Encyclopedia (2008). “Local Assistance Road Program helps local governments preserve their road systems by funding resurfacing activities. Each year, every city and county in the state is invited to submit a priority list of projects to the GDOT, which reviews requests and establishes priorities for resurfacing. In 2007 GDOT resurfaced 917 miles of roads under the program. Overall, there are 70,013 miles of city and county paved roads in Georgia.” See point number 2 under Support for Georgia Roadways, http://www.georgiaencyclopedia.org/nge/Article.jsp?path=/Transportation/....

From the Georgia Municipal Association (2010), “On July 1 the Georgia DOT began accepting new requests for local transportation needs through the Local Maintenance and Improvement Grant (LMIG) Program. Both the State Aid program and the Local Assistance Road Program (LARP) are replaced by the LMIG Program. GDOT held a series of workshops during the month of June to help local government officials understand the new process of applying for funds under the LMIG program. . . The total amount available in the LMIG program for FY2011 is $96 million. SB200 stipulated that LMIG must be funded at between 10-20 percent of motor fuel funds. The amount for FY2011 is approximately 13 per cent . . . While LARP funds were restricted to resurfacing projects, the LMIG program is intended to provide more flexibility and can be used for a variety of transportation improvement projects, including patching, widening, turn lanes, rehabilitation, intersections, traffic signals, safety upgrades, culvert/bridge repair and sidewalk/bike lane improvements that are within the roadway right of way. Parking lots are an eligible project, but priority will be given to road and bridge projects. . . For FY11, there is no match for resurfacing projects and a 10 percent match for construction projects. Money spent on preliminary engineering, right of way, utilities, etc. are NOT counted toward the 10 percent match.” See http://www.gmanet.com/MDR.aspx?CNID=53322.

From the DOT, “Due to motor fuel funds being used for this program only certain types of transportation improvement projects are eligible. Project types include but are not limited to: patching & resurfacing, new location, widening, turn lanes, rehabilitation, intersections, dirt road upgrades, safety upgrades, culvert/bridge repair or replacement. . . LG will be expected to match at least 10% of the construction cost on all projects except for resurfacing/maintenance type projects. LG may count monies spent on preliminary engineering activities toward the 10% match. In addition, monies spent on any construction items not included in the GDOT contract, can go toward the 10% match. See points number 7 and 10, http://www.dot.state.ga.us/localgovernment/FundingPrograms/LMIG/Document....

For what it is worth, I did not find a clear explanation on the DOT web site of how this process has changed over time (that doesn't mean that it isn't there, but I didn't find it).

So, it appears that resurfacing used to be covered by the DOT under LARP, but no longer is under LMIG, and that the percentage of the local government “match” required for construction projects may vary in any given year.

Is what you are saying is that the local government "match" for maintenance and paving, currently at 0%, will go up to 10% if the referendum passes and up to 30% if it does not? If so, then the TSPLOST idea is even worse than I originally wrote.

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Saturday, June 23, 2012

Political Culture Makes America Exceptional

Read the column here.

Some readers may remember that I had intended a column along these lines last November as sort of a tie-in with Thanksgiving. Then the Selig/Walmart thing erupted and I am just now getting back around to this topic (Independence Day seemed like a reasonable time for it). Anyway, this is one of those times when I'm not sure that my execution of the topic was as good as the topic warranted, but what are you gonna do?

Addendum -  Another thing that did not make it into the column was the fact that we have a peaceful transfer of power after elections. We have never had a president, governor, or even a city councilman (of which I am aware at any rate) who simply refused to leave office and whose supporters took up arms to keep him there (which is not to say that some skulduggery has not occurred from time to time).

Just pay attention to the news and you will see that such is not the way political events unfold in much of the world.

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Saturday, June 9, 2012

Clarke Schools Getting Plenty Of Money

Read the column  here.

The above column was based on a presentation that I made at the second of the CCSD’s three public budget hearings (in a rather factual, polite, and non-confrontational manner, if I do say so myself).  When the meeting broke up, a single member of the Board of Education had a brief question about the statistic I used concerning Staff Services (see below).  The other five members of the Board in attendance, and all of the CCSD administration types who were there, had not the first word to say to me.  Such is entirely par for the course.  As usual, percentage and percentile calculations are my own.

CCSD FY 2013 Tentative Budget Presentation
http://www.clarke.k12.ga.us/files/14/fy2012-2013%20boe%20tentative%20budget%20presentation%20revised%2004-19-2012.pdf

Per Pupil and Total Expenditures from the Georgia Department of Education
http://app3.doe.k12.ga.us/ows-bin/owa/fin_pack_revenue.entry_form

CCSD FY 2011 Per Pupil Expenditures in the seven categories tracked by the Georgia Department of Education:
School Administration — $644.42 (17.58 percent above the state average of $548.08)
General Administration — $553.64 (22.88 percent above the state average of $450.56)
Instruction — $7,515.74 (30.59 percent above the state average of $5,755.13)
Pupil Services — $390.97 (31.56 percent above the state average of $297.19)
Maintenance & Operations — $1,060.34 (55.79 percent above the state average of $680.60).
Transportation — $753.20 (80.10 percent above the state average of $418.21)
Staff Services — $892.78 (100.99 percent above the state average of $444.20)

CCSD Per Pupil Expenditures:
FY 2011    $11,811.08
FY 2010    $11,360.09
FY 2009    $11,248.22
FY 2008    $11,180.05
FY 2007    $10,746.94
FY 2006    $9616.96
FY 2005    $9038.05
FY 2004    $8902.00
FY 2003    $8740.89
FY 2002    $8225.14
FY 2001    $7699.37
FY 2000    $7383.78
FY 1999    $7110.40
FY 1998    $6476.72
FY 1997    $6056.03
FY 1996    $5915.85

CCSD Total Expenditures:
FY 2011    $140,126,681.13 (FTE = 11,864)
FY 2010    $135,787,197.78
FY 2009    $132,560,274.19
FY 2008    $132,304,656.82
FY 2007    $122,676,358.17
FY 2006    $108,777,454.92
FY 2005    $101,750,418.08
FY 2004    $99,008,011.15
FY 2003    $96,053,605.15
FY 2002    $89,826,702.74
FY 2001    $83,961,638.61
FY2000    $77,884,098.32 (FTE = 10,548)
FY 1999    $74,758,695.78
FY 1998    $69,333,256.88
FY 1997    $64,775,274.85
FY 1996    $63,335,132.28 (FTE = 10,706)

Adjusted for inflation, the CCSD’s Total Expenditures for FY 2000 ($77,884,098.32) would have been $101,737,347.22 in FY 2011.  Of course, such an extrapolation does not take into account the change in the number of students, but the increase in that number in no way accounts for the growth in spending, (and is why Per Pupil expenditures is a better indicator of spending trends; the Georgia Department of Education uses FTE, or “full time equivalent” as its measure of student populations).  The fact that the actual expenditures for FY 2011 exceeded those accounted for by inflation by almost $40 million is staggering.

QBE Allotments from the Georgia Department of Education
http://app3.doe.k12.ga.us/ows-bin/owa/qbe_reports.public_menu?p_fy=2000

Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI Inflation Calculator
http://www.bls.gov/data/inflation_calculator.htm

US Inflation Calculator (will accommodate more digits than the BLS calculator above, though it uses the same BLS CPI data)
http://www.usinflationcalculator.com/

Finally, I noted at the budget hearing that, according to data from the Georgia Department of Education, the Barrow County School District, located just up the road from Athens, has more students than the CCSD, makes do with fewer employees, has a student population the majority of whom qualify for free/reduced lunches, and has levels of academic achievement that are just as good as (if not better) than those of the CCSD . . . and does so with a budget that is $30 million less.

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Saturday, May 26, 2012

County Holds Line On Property Taxes

Read the column here.

Unified Government’s Public Hearing on the FY 2013 Budget:


The “double dip” housing market problem (of particular note for local readers are the absolutely horrid numbers for the Atlanta market):


The “shadow” inventory problem:





The “robo-signing” settlement problem (originally applicable to five major banks in February, expanded to another eight in March; by the way, true to form and reminiscent of the tobacco settlement of years ago, several states have already started to apply their windfalls not to redress mortgage foreclosure problems as intended, but to plug various holes in their budgets):




Addendum


I never stated that the only way to account for the additional revenue needed was by adding owner-occupied residential units, as I am fully aware that local government has a variety of income sources.  What I said was “That means the equivalent of more than 6.3 homes, just like ours, must be added to the county’s property tax digest every day for the entire year to account for the new spending in the proposed FY 2013 budget.”  Since the point of my column concerned City Hall’s millage rate, this seemed a useful way of presenting my argument.

Be that as it may, the proposed FY 2013 Operating Budget is $104,338,470 and the proposed FY 2013 Capital Current Services and Additions & Improvements budget is $3,194,000, for a total of $107,532,470.  The equivalent figures for FY 2012 are $103,892,731, $2,300,800, and $106,193,331, respectively

So, even if one excludes the CCSA&I portion of the budgets, FY 2013 is still increasing spending by $445,739 over that of FY 2012.



Also, see these previous Banner-Herald articles that mention a $107.5 million figure for the FY 2013 budget:



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Tuesday, May 15, 2012

Ron Paul's Bye-ku

As usual, shamelessly lifted from James Taranto over at WSJ's Best of the Web Today:

Ron Paul (15 May)

Latest word from the
Ron Paul Survival Report
Is that he didn't

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Monday, May 7, 2012

Newt's Bye-ku

Newt Gingrich (25 April)

The gun-toting sheep
Of Beltway cocktail parties
Stand victorious

Yes, I realize that I am running somewhat behind with this, the latest of James Taranto's GOP presidential candidate bye-kus for 2012, published a couple of weeks back on the WSJ's "Best of the Web" feature.

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